PAR Sale: CSX PAR Lines Operating Plan Detail Analysis, Part I

CSX PAR Lines Operating Plan Detail Analysis

CSX’s Amended and Supplemented Application (01.July.2021) includes a 60-page Operating Plan, Verified by Jamie Boychuk. It includes a detailed analysis of current PAR System operating characteristics, regional CSX operating characteristics, and a projected synthesis of the two into a CSX regional divisions directly connected to the CSX national network.

ANRP’s analysis of the Operating Plan will comprise three posts, including maps, tables and links to in-depth subject pages:

Part I: PAR/PAS Lines Current  Operating Characteristics

PAR Operations Map
PAR Operations Map. Click on map for larger image. Click here for full-scale .pdf (subscribers only)

[This] amended and supplemented Operating Plan improves upon previous submissions in these ways:

  1. Identifies the amount of traffic that would benefit from single-line CSXT service and describes and quantifies the benefits that will result from such single-line service;
  2. Includes information regarding service to Granite Shore Power’s Merrimack Generation Station and other as-needed service;
  3. Provides more detail on the benefits of B&E taking over Springfield Terminal’s role as contract operator of PAS;
  4. Addresses potential changes at PAS’s East Deerfield yard;
  5. Provides further explanation and data concerning the impact of the NSR Settlement Agreement on Ayer Yard traffic;
  6. Further quantifies the benefits of CSXT’s capital investment in the PAR System; and
  7. Further describes and quantifies the benefits of transitioning the Springfield Terminal locomotive fleet to the CSXT locomotive fleet.
Pan Am System Density 2024
Pan Am System Density 2024 (projected). Click on map for larger image. Click here for full-scale .pdf (subscribers only)
Pan Am system Density 2019
Pan Am System Density 2019. Click on map for larger image. Click here for full-scale .pdf (subscribers only)

Methodology

“[…] I developed projected traffic and density changes for three years following the transaction (through 2024) … [using] 2019 as a base year [for CSXT instead of] 2020 … since it was non-representative due to the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic … [forecasting] an average annual growth rate of 1.5% per year from 2019 through 2024 … [drawing from Mark Wallace’s assumptions] on organic growth suggest that the total carloads on the PAR System and PAS Network [growth will track] the U.S. GDP forecast, roughly averaging 1.5% per year from 2019 through 2024. Mr. Wallace expects that the organic growth will occur primarily in the following commodities: forest products, energy-related, and non-forest construction products.”

Key Characteristics of the PAR System

  • [The PAR System comprises] an ~808-route mile single unified regional freight rail network, including approximately 724.53 owned and leased (including perpetual freight easement) route miles and ~83.62 trackage rights route miles.
  • The PAS Network consists of ~425 route miles of rail lines, including ~281.38 owned (including perpetual freight easement) route miles and ~143.62 trackage rights route miles,
  • The PAR System and PAS Network transport a total of ~90,000 freight carloads and ~83,000 intermodal and haulage units annually.
  • In 2019, the PAR System moved 51,170 freight carloads, representing 98% of its gross revenue for the year, and 5,054 intermodal units, representing 2% of its gross revenue.
  • The PAR System and PAS Network own and lease a total of ~1,476 railcars and 102 locomotives.
  • The primary commodities handled include grain, sand and gravel, food products, lumber, paper and pulp, chemicals and plastics, petroleum, processed minerals, metals, scrap metal, finished automobiles, and intermodal trailers and containers.

B&M and ST have overhead trackage rights over Milford-Bennington Railroad Company, between approximately milepost N-16.36, in Wilton, NH, and approximately milepost 19.66, in Lyndeboro, NH.8 Boston & Maine also owns ~36.94 route miles of branch line track. Additionally, Boston & Maine leases ~26.64 route miles of main line track, which includes:

  1. CPF 312 to CPF NC, a distance of ~9.63 route miles, owned by PAR subsidiary Stony Brook;
  2. Bleachery, MA to CPF NC, a distance of ~3.84 route miles, owned by MBTA ;
  3. CPF NC to the Massachusetts state line, a distance of ~6.20 route miles, owned by MBTA; and
  4. Two segments in Concord, NH and White River Junction, VT, totaling a distance of ~6.97 route miles, owned by PAR subsidiary Northern.
PAR Operations Map
PAR Operations Map. Click on map for larger image. Click here for full-scale .pdf (subscribers only)

Summary of PAR Network Train Operations and Description of Lines

Springfield Terminal (ST) currently operates Road Trains, Local Trains, Yard Trains, and Additional traffic over ~808 miles of track comprising one Main Line, numerous branches, easements, and rights, working out of six yards and interchanging at 20 locations.

 

Summary of PAS Network Train Operations and Description of Lines

ST functions as a contract operator for PAS and serves as PAS’s agent. ST currently operates NSR trains over the PAS line, and operates Road Trains, Local Trains, and Yard Trains for PAS over ~425 route-miles over two Main lines and nine branch lines, working out of seven yards and interchanging at 21 locations.

PAR and PAS current operations table
PAR and PAS current operations table

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PAR and PAS 2020 Traffic Averages
PAR and PAS 2020 Traffic Averages